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As many may remember, December of 2001 was a month of
both crisis and triumph in the Argentine political arena.
The democratically elected President of Argentina resigned
after his government’s final attempts to avoid
a fiscal crisis ultimately ended in failure, forcing
Argentina to default on international loans. Although
the default was clearly the harbinger of a political
and economic crisis, it also proved the strength, resolve
and tenacity of the Argentine democracy, as an interim
government quickly began to lay the groundwork for new
elections. Drastic measures were both needed and taken,
and in accordance with the Argentine Constitution, a
new President, Nestor Kirchner, was elected by popular
vote, pledging to lead the country back to financial
stability and fiscal responsibility.
Prior
to the crisis in December of 2001, the Argentine currency,
the Peso, had been tied to the U.S. dollar at an even
one-to-one ratio. One of the first drastic measures
taken during the crisis was to sever the relationship
of the Peso to the U.S. dollar, allowing the Peso to
float and to arrive at its’ own value. This caused
the Peso to rapidly plummet in value as compared to
the U.S. dollar, at one point giving the dollar a value
of 4.50 Pesos. This Peso value slowly decreased as internal
markets adjusted to the new economic realities, and
the value of the Peso has settled in at around 2.9 pesos
to one U.S. dollar since then. This still provides almost
triple the previous buying power for the U.S. dollar
in Argentina, even as the dollar falls against the Euro
and the British Pound Sterling. Although Buenos Aires
used to be the most expensive city in South America,
now travel, meals and lodging in Argentina are very
cheap by world standards, as are many other goods and
commodities, including real estate.
The Argentine Peso’s loss of value against the
U.S. dollar has had a number of interesting and beneficial
effects in various sectors of the Argentine economy
and has also created excellent investment opportunities
for investors with foreign currencies. Argentina is
one of the largest producers of food in the world, having
huge areas of very fertile soils, excellent farming
and ranching climates, and a highly evolved and technologically
advanced agricultural base. When the Peso devalued rapidly,
land prices and many other costs associated with the
production of agricultural commodities fell rapidly
as well. As a result, Argentine agricultural commodities
became much more economically competitive in the world
commodities markets, since the selling prices in those
markets are fixed in U.S. dollars. This sudden increase
in competitive pricing in turn set off an increased
interest in agricultural land in Argentina, since in
reality the price of land had fallen dramatically while
at the same time the economic productivity of that same
land had skyrocketed, effectively causing a substantial
increase in the ROI that an investor could achieve on
land used for agriculture, not to mention the longer
term appreciation potential.
Today,
land prices continue to rise steadily in Argentina and
there is a general consensus that they will continue
to do so for a very long time, given their undervalued
status and high productivity. There is substantial activity
in the agricultural sector on an international level
in Argentina now, with a brisk business being done in
new imported heavy farming equipment to satisfy the
demand for the ever increasing agricultural expansion.
New crops, such as genetically engineered soy beans,
are changing the face of Argentina by expanding agricultural
production into lands that had traditionally been used
for cattle. Many cattle ranchers are gleefully selling
their cattle to plant crops, while other ranchers are
quite happy to sell their fertile land to farmers and
subsequently purchase more, but less fertile land, farther
away from these new centers of agriculture. This practice
has set off a small land boom in what were previously
considered more marginal lands in Argentina, since now
there is also an increase in demand for these previously
ignored lands as well. Land clearing is proceeding at
a rapid pace in Argentina now, as these formerly marginal
lands are reclaimed from brush to be sold and resold
to both cattle ranchers and farmers for crops such as
potatoes, fruits, vegetables, olives, figs and citrus.
Although
unquestionably Argentina as a country has suffered in
these last few years, there is light at the end of the
tunnel, and the opportunities for investors and for
Argentina look very attractive, both in the short and
long term. Labor is very cheap and local goods are very
affordable, while the cost of living remains extremely
low in comparison to other countries. The economy should
continue to improve in general and the agricultural
sector should continue to boom, taking real estate along
with it, for a number of years to come. The Argentine
people proved their dedication to the democratic process
by dealing with a national financial and political crisis
in an orderly and democratic manner, which is a source
of pride for all Argentines. Opportunities are frequently
created when unfortunate things happen, and today Argentina
appears to be a land of great opportunity with a bright
future.
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